I think I can speak to this. Probably 200ish hours with spear between the betas and beginning of launch.
The primary reason I moved away from spear was because of how easy it was to dodge. I wasn’t getting dodged myself, but that was close to launch. People hadn’t figured out how to pvp yet (and most still haven’t). But I have never one time lost to another spear, and I can probably count on one hand the amount of times I’ve actually let a spear ability hit me. (not counting the odd dude who runs cyclone for whatever reason). But really odd ability choices I wasn’t expecting aside, spear is VERY easy to dodge. This was the primary motivation behind me switching to rapier. If I could read it, everyone else would figure out how to as well eventually.
Vaultkick’s animation is very fast - for the portion that actually deals damage. The first half of it doesn’t stun, nor deal damage. It’s only once they get half way through it that it “activates” for lack of a better word. This means the first half of the ability is 100% telegraph. And given how narrow the actual hitbox is, it’s very easy to sidestep.
Javelin has an entire windup of repositioning the spear and getting into the throwing pose. At which point, it’s just a slower arrow. If you can dodge and arrow, you will have no problems dodging a javelin.
Sweep is rather fast and hard to dodge, however, it has a shorter reach than the basic attack. So, if the spear user is running right up to you, closer than his normal range is, you can expect a sweep and react accordingly.
The only abilities that are very difficult to dodge are skewer and perforate. But being that they aren’t CC abilities, they aren’t as punishing to be hit by. And cyclone I guess, if you’re insane.
With all of that in mind, however, spear is an objective improvement over hammer in just about every respect that a hammer performs it’s role in. Spear has an absolutely mindboggling amount of CDR and stamina regeneration. Meaning it can have it’s cc up more often, for longer. For every bit of CC that a hammer can throw out, a spear can do it 3 times over.
I’m surprised that spear hasn’t already taken over hammer as the go-to CC weapon.