Rolled 30 purple axes in a row

is this a bug?

That’s rng.

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that’s crafting in new world.

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at what point is it beyond a doubt a bug? 31.

still rolling purple, need help idk where bug is. townboard completed vs siege window?

for real its like 15 out of 100
so by rng you could actually miss another 50 before seeing a gold

ha
im sorry for ya brother

record it :confused:

595-600 so 1/6 lego(unless you forgot azoth… then you can’t get Lego)

So 0.1666667 to get Lego, or 16.67%. So 0.83333 to fail.

Chance for a series to happen is odds of 1 happeneing to the power of the # of times.

0.8333^30 is 0.00421 or 0.42%.

This is extremely unlikely to happen.

Your suggestion that he could miss 80 is rediculous.

0.8333^80 is 4.629x10^-7 or 0.000046%

That will never ever happen.

To a 95% confidence, it takes about 16 crafts. Ie you should expect at worst, 1 lego every 16 crafts… on average it should be one every 6… one out of 30 tells me something is wrong. Unless this is a very very rare occurance… but I know it’s not…

I suspect that people may be forgetting to apply azoth… but I couldn’t obviously prove it…

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I too rolled 30 ish purples in a row. 1 at a time too. Really felt like crafting was trash the first few days after update.

Rolled between 180-190 muskets, after the patch, and 29 went lego.

It’s legit about 1/6, and you just got horribly unlucky.

Day after the patch I crafted 20 armor pieces and got 0 legendary.
Today I crafted 18 bags and got 0 legendary.
I have screen shots showing my azoth was added/all t6 mats 595-600

And considering AGS track record with EVERYTHING ELSE since launch why would you assume this one system is ā€œworking perfect and just as intendedā€ when nothing else in the game is

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This is New World crafting.

Probably is something wrong, just saying there is an alternative that is hard to prove.

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